[해외주식] SPY 다음은 어디로 갈까요? / $SPY Where do we go next?
주식개미
0
1900
2021.09.29 10:29
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
mikeright25
Hello traders,
I totally forgot about the congressional meeting with Powell and Yellen.. That and the debt ceiling talk completely spooked traders. VIX jumped up to 24 by 10pm EST.. nothing says uncertainty like that.
It's been a little tough to gauge the direction of the market the past few days, but I'd like to share a little insight.
Let's break it down:
- Triple witching pullback on the 20th with a move down to the 200ma on the 4hr.
- pivots up to about 444.85 over the next few days (23rd) from a 429 low
- decreasing volume from the 20th - 27th
- churning and double top formed.
____________
Today:
- Bearish Trend change. Big sell volume with the VIX spiking... catalyst: congressional meeting and debt ceiling fears.
- Highest 5min volume candle was selling at the close after intraday dip-buying.
- On the 1hr and below Double bottom formed.
- Found support off the 4hr 200ma.
- Directionally flat on the 4hr, but upward ADX on the 1hr.
___________
With all that said, it looks like we're still in choppy waters , be careful out there, manage your risk. We could see a Bullish reversal with the double bottom , if the VIX wasn't so high the odds of this happening would be higher.
Drop me a like or a comment if you have some thoughts.
Cheers,
Mike
I totally forgot about the congressional meeting with Powell and Yellen.. That and the debt ceiling talk completely spooked traders. VIX jumped up to 24 by 10pm EST.. nothing says uncertainty like that.
It's been a little tough to gauge the direction of the market the past few days, but I'd like to share a little insight.
Let's break it down:
- Triple witching pullback on the 20th with a move down to the 200ma on the 4hr.
- pivots up to about 444.85 over the next few days (23rd) from a 429 low
- decreasing volume from the 20th - 27th
- churning and double top formed.
____________
Today:
- Bearish Trend change. Big sell volume with the VIX spiking... catalyst: congressional meeting and debt ceiling fears.
- Highest 5min volume candle was selling at the close after intraday dip-buying.
- On the 1hr and below Double bottom formed.
- Found support off the 4hr 200ma.
- Directionally flat on the 4hr, but upward ADX on the 1hr.
___________
With all that said, it looks like we're still in choppy waters , be careful out there, manage your risk. We could see a Bullish reversal with the double bottom , if the VIX wasn't so high the odds of this happening would be higher.
Drop me a like or a comment if you have some thoughts.
Cheers,
Mike
번역:
SPDR S&P 500 ETF 트러스트
미케라이트25
안녕하세요 무역업자 여러분
파월 의원과 옐런 의원과의 의회 회동을 까맣게 잊고 있었습니다. 그리고 부채상한제도는 무역업자들을 완전히 겁먹게 한다. VIX는 10시 쯤에 24까지 뛰어올랐다. 어떤 것도 불확실성을 그렇게 말하지 않는다.
지난 며칠간 시장의 향방을 가늠하는 것이 좀 힘들었지만, 저는 약간의 통찰력을 공유하고 싶습니다.
그것을 분해해 봅시다.
- 20일 트리플 위칭 풀백, 4시간 200m로 내려갑니다.
- 향후 며칠(23일) 동안 429 최저치에서 약 444.85까지 회전
- 20~27일 물량 감소
- 츄어링 및 더블 탑 형성.
____________
현재:
- 약세 추세 변화. 빅스 급등으로 대량 판매량 증가... 촉매제: 의회 회의와 부채 상한선 공포.
- 5분짜리 최고량 캔들이 장중 딥구매 후 막판에 팔리고 있었습니다.
- 1시간 이하에서 이중 바닥이 형성됩니다.
- 4시간 200m 지점에서 지지대를 찾았습니다.
- 방향은 4시간 동안 평평하지만 ADX는 1시간 동안 상승합니다.
___________
그런 말을 들으니, 우리는 아직 거친 물 속에 있는 것 같으니, 밖을 조심하고, 위험을 관리하세요. 만약 VIX가 그렇게 높지 않다면, 우리는 더블 바텀으로 강세 반전을 볼 수 있을 것이다.
무슨 생각이 있으면 같은 말이나 코멘트를 주세요.
건배.
마이크
원문링크: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/WUUzMnbO-SPY-Where-do-we-go-next/
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