someone asked me this evening if i thought iwm was in a phase of distribution right now- so i decided to take a deep dive into the entire history of this chart, and here's what i've come up with.

no, i do not think it is in a phase of distribution, instead it actually looks like a massive bull flag - in elliott wave theory terms, i'll call it a double or triple three - hard to say for now, since it is only halfway through this flat corrective phase.

my low ball long term upside target for iwm is at $335, high ball would be $375

this is in confluence with my 12 year spy analysis, you can view it down below:


ps. flat corrections can take a really long time to resolve, so i'd wait for a definitive break out, and a retest of the entire channel that it's in right now before attempting to play that upside swing.