[코인] BTC를 위한 Wyckoff 재배포 / Wyckoff redistribution for BTC
코인개미
0
2186
2021.07.02 13:59
Bitcoin / TetherUS
taochoy0102
Note: This post is quite a reach from a bearish perspective and just an idea. I have about 70% confidence i n it.
This is looking more likely to be a Wyckoff redistribution than a reaccumulation simply from the patterns I'm seeing formed within the range. We will only know for sure though after a break below the range and a bearish retest of SC after breaking to the low (I'll be buying on bounces at all the fibonacci levels starting from 1.272 all confluent with monthly/weekly demand zones and selling on bounces until the 200% fib retracement target with stop losses at entry after bounces. I believe we can come as low as the 2.618 at around 13k not likely though.
In the recent short term there was a wyckoff reaccumulation to the 200% fib target which couldn't hold a bullish retest of its buying climax. I will try to get a short in between 33.3k and 33.7k. Key level I'm setting buy orders for now are at 30.3k for what I think will be one last bearish retest before breaking down from the larger range.
Avoiding buying alts until around 50% of the monthly imbalance on btc .d is filled. Bitcoin Dominance has a big imbalance on the monthly it is looking to fill. But once filled to maybe 50%-100% I think there will be a big fast drop again to new lows for a new big alt cycle from the pattern I'm seeing formed.
The monthly close 2 days ago was also the quarterly and half-yearly closes. If the first few months or 2 are started red, we might see the quarterly or half-yearly shift momentum to the upside and leave a wick to the lows.
You might be thinking we need to retest breakdown of previous wyckoff redistribution range. To that I would argue we might not get it because the target of the 200% fib retracement has already been reached. It has actually come down to 2.618.
Eth BTC also looking bearish on the weekly. Currently faking out from the shorter term . 618 retracement .
Might be the last post for a while.
This is looking more likely to be a Wyckoff redistribution than a reaccumulation simply from the patterns I'm seeing formed within the range. We will only know for sure though after a break below the range and a bearish retest of SC after breaking to the low (I'll be buying on bounces at all the fibonacci levels starting from 1.272 all confluent with monthly/weekly demand zones and selling on bounces until the 200% fib retracement target with stop losses at entry after bounces. I believe we can come as low as the 2.618 at around 13k not likely though.
In the recent short term there was a wyckoff reaccumulation to the 200% fib target which couldn't hold a bullish retest of its buying climax. I will try to get a short in between 33.3k and 33.7k. Key level I'm setting buy orders for now are at 30.3k for what I think will be one last bearish retest before breaking down from the larger range.
Avoiding buying alts until around 50% of the monthly imbalance on btc .d is filled. Bitcoin Dominance has a big imbalance on the monthly it is looking to fill. But once filled to maybe 50%-100% I think there will be a big fast drop again to new lows for a new big alt cycle from the pattern I'm seeing formed.
The monthly close 2 days ago was also the quarterly and half-yearly closes. If the first few months or 2 are started red, we might see the quarterly or half-yearly shift momentum to the upside and leave a wick to the lows.
You might be thinking we need to retest breakdown of previous wyckoff redistribution range. To that I would argue we might not get it because the target of the 200% fib retracement has already been reached. It has actually come down to 2.618.
Eth BTC also looking bearish on the weekly. Currently faking out from the shorter term . 618 retracement .
Might be the last post for a while.
번역:
비트코인/테더미국
타오초이0102
참고: 이 게시물은 약자적 관점에서 볼 때 상당히 도달한 것이며 하나의 아이디어에 불과합니다. 나는 그것에 대해 약 70%의 신뢰를 가지고 있다.
이것은 와이코프의 재배포일 가능성이 더 커 보입니다. 단순히 제가 보고 있는 패턴의 재축적이라기 보다는요. 비록 최저치를 벗어난 후 SC를 약하게 재시험한 후에야 확실히 알 수 있을 것입니다(나는 월/주 수요 구역 1.272부터 모든 피보나치 수준에서 바운스를 구매하고, 바운스 후 진입 시 손실이 있는 200% 섬유 회수 목표까지 바운스를 판매할 것입니다. 나는 우리가 약 13K에서 2.618까지 내려올 수 있다고 생각하지 않는다.
최근 단기적으로 200%의 fib 목표치에 대한 wyckoff 재적립이 있었는데, 그것은 그것의 매수 절정에 대한 강한 재시험을 치를 수 없었다. 33.3k에서 33.7k 사이로 짧게 하도록 노력하겠습니다. 제가 지금 구매 주문서를 설정하는 핵심 레벨은 30.3k로, 더 큰 범위에서 벗어나기 전에 마지막으로 약식 테스트를 할 것으로 생각됩니다.
btc.d의 월별 불균형의 약 50%가 채워질 때까지 모든 것을 사는 것을 피한다. 비트코인 우위는 채우려는 달의 불균형이 크다. 하지만 일단 50%~100%로 채워지면, 제가 보고 있는 패턴에서 새로운 큰 고도를 형성하기 위해 다시 최저치로 빠르게 떨어질 것이라고 생각합니다.
이틀 전 월별 종가 역시 분기별, 반기별 종가였다. 처음 몇 달이나 두 달 동안은 분기별 또는 반기별로 모멘텀이 상승세로 전환되고 심지가 하락세로 전환되는 것을 볼 수 있습니다.
이전의 wyckoff 재배포 범위를 다시 테스트해야 한다고 생각할 수 있습니다. 나는 우리가 200% 섬유추적 목표치에 이미 도달했기 때문에 그것을 얻지 못할 수도 있다고 주장한다. 실제로 2.618까지 내려왔다.
Eth BTC 또한 주간지에서는 약세를 보이고 있다. 618 후퇴라는 짧은 기간 동안 위장하고 있습니다
당분간은 마지막 자리일 수도 있어요.
원문링크: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/fJqrTudw-Wyckoff-redistribution-for-BTC/
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